Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.021360 0.023007 0.024720 0.026638 0.028727 0.030933 0.033444
2025-12-14 0.018444 0.020784 0.023346 0.026366 0.029836 0.033708 0.038369
2025-12-21 0.016693 0.019449 0.022583 0.026423 0.031020 0.036369 0.043095
2025-12-28 0.015294 0.018301 0.021825 0.026281 0.031796 0.038438 0.047102
2026-01-04 0.014236 0.017426 0.021263 0.026248 0.032600 0.040482 0.051099
2026-01-11 0.013416 0.016757 0.020867 0.026339 0.033494 0.042618 0.055272
2026-01-18 0.012690 0.016138 0.020470 0.026364 0.034255 0.044573 0.059272
2026-01-25 0.012113 0.015664 0.020210 0.026522 0.035163 0.046728 0.063631
2026-02-01 0.011437 0.015011 0.019667 0.026251 0.035446 0.048017 0.066822
2026-02-08 0.010771 0.014331 0.019042 0.025816 0.035455 0.048894 0.069440
2026-02-15 0.010256 0.013825 0.018618 0.025626 0.035775 0.050200 0.072726
2026-02-22 0.009758 0.013314 0.018159 0.025349 0.035939 0.051267 0.075691
2026-03-01 0.009305 0.012861 0.017777 0.025193 0.036315 0.052726 0.079452
2026-03-08 0.008862 0.012401 0.017365 0.024973 0.036583 0.054045 0.083094
2026-03-15 0.008537 0.012095 0.017155 0.025033 0.037268 0.056022 0.087903
2026-03-22 0.008183 0.011726 0.016833 0.024900 0.037635 0.057511 0.091993
2026-03-29 0.007884 0.011422 0.016590 0.024869 0.038152 0.059250 0.096596
2026-04-05 0.007636 0.011183 0.016430 0.024955 0.038848 0.061306 0.101862
2026-04-12 0.007389 0.010934 0.016240 0.024978 0.039438 0.063207 0.106972
2026-04-19 0.007189 0.010746 0.016135 0.025127 0.040235 0.065490 0.112903
2026-04-26 0.006906 0.010417 0.015793 0.024872 0.040333 0.066574 0.116714
2026-05-03 0.006605 0.010048 0.015372 0.024463 0.040144 0.067139 0.119583
2026-05-10 0.006373 0.009778 0.015097 0.024284 0.040336 0.068378 0.123797